Monday, August 31, 2009
EU: a spade = a spade!! ja?
EU: time to start calling a spade a spade if the eu is to move forward at all (IMO)
4 mini analyses on "Greed"
thinking about greed under 90+ degrees (lol):
a) mis-channeled zest for life
b) we do not all work for greedy people
c) a sports analogy
d) financial delegation capitalism and corporatism
a) mis-channeled zest for life
b) we do not all work for greedy people
c) a sports analogy
d) financial delegation capitalism and corporatism
what small companies need
Reminder to poiiticians:
Small companies need climate of fewer but better laws and regulations - over-regulation suffocates small biz
Small companies need climate of fewer but better laws and regulations - over-regulation suffocates small biz
fixing the glitches in capitalism
The solutions to the problems of capitalism exist within the system: eg SRI (socially (and environmentally) responsible investment)
the man in the streets
Philosophy:
Does the "man in the street" care whether Doha Round - WTO talks will be completed, who the new EU Commissioners will be, etc?
How much of news is real news, ie contributing to a person's awareness of the "world"? why?
Does the "man in the street" care whether Doha Round - WTO talks will be completed, who the new EU Commissioners will be, etc?
How much of news is real news, ie contributing to a person's awareness of the "world"? why?
Sunday, August 30, 2009
WTO Doha Round talks
India is hosting 34 trade ministers, Sept. 3-4, in New Delhi, to talk of the Doha Round of WTO talks, on the way to the G20 talks in Pittsburgh.
Do they really think that the Doha round of WTO talks will be completed in 2010?
Eg. Does the new US Pres. have a "fast track" powers?
Do they really think that the Doha round of WTO talks will be completed in 2010?
Eg. Does the new US Pres. have a "fast track" powers?
recession and re-bounds: Why?:
GDP growth in Q2 negative in USA, UK and Eurozone (-1%, -0.7%, -0.1%) while positive in Germany, France, Japan, HK, etc. One wonders why.
Saturday, August 29, 2009
Pluralism vs Social Responsibility
Philosophy: Pluralism vs Social Responsibility
Do/should people or legal entities have to adhere to "social laws" or pressures in addition to the (real) laws of a land (ie laws proposed and voted by institutional bodies and in line with the Constitution not ad hoc "social dynamics")?
Do/should people or legal entities have to adhere to "social laws" or pressures in addition to the (real) laws of a land (ie laws proposed and voted by institutional bodies and in line with the Constitution not ad hoc "social dynamics")?
Friday, August 28, 2009
The philosopher-CEO
"mankind will have no respite from trouble until either real philosophers gain political power or politicians become by some miracle true philosophers."
- Plato, Republic
That was then.
Now, in 2009:
the economy will have no respite from trouble until either real philosophers become CEOs or CEOs become by some miracle true philosophers
- Panayotopoulos, nickpthinks
- Plato, Republic
That was then.
Now, in 2009:
the economy will have no respite from trouble until either real philosophers become CEOs or CEOs become by some miracle true philosophers
- Panayotopoulos, nickpthinks
American Dream - Scandic Reality?
I wrote this in March 2007, but I think it applies in 2009 as well:
Business/entrepreneurship is the most suppressed form of personal expression in the world today.
A society where a child, irrespective of his/her or his/her parents background can realistically dream of starting and surviving a business (even very small) is not only economically, but also socially "libertarian"-liberal-free one!
In view of recent world rankings of economies and countries, could one speak these days of an "American Dream" but also of a "Danish, Swedish and Finnish Reality" (since those countries rank in top spots in competitiveness and other rankings, way above the USA, UK, France, Germany, Japan, China, India, etc)?
Business/entrepreneurship is the most suppressed form of personal expression in the world today.
A society where a child, irrespective of his/her or his/her parents background can realistically dream of starting and surviving a business (even very small) is not only economically, but also socially "libertarian"-liberal-free one!
In view of recent world rankings of economies and countries, could one speak these days of an "American Dream" but also of a "Danish, Swedish and Finnish Reality" (since those countries rank in top spots in competitiveness and other rankings, way above the USA, UK, France, Germany, Japan, China, India, etc)?
corporate "democracies"?
Democracy is IMO the best political system, but is it the best corporate governance system? philosopher-king to philosopher-CEO
Economic "Aurarky"?
Economy "Autarky":
a) national
b) regional (eg EU, NAFTA, CAFTA, Mercosur, ASEAN, African Union, etc) or
c) global (WTO)?
d) .......?
a) national
b) regional (eg EU, NAFTA, CAFTA, Mercosur, ASEAN, African Union, etc) or
c) global (WTO)?
d) .......?
sales of new and existing US homes in July
The annual rate of sales of new US homes rose 9.6% July, beating analysts' expectations.
This constitutes the biggest rise in sales of new houses since September 2008.
Other data showed a 7.2% rise in the sales of existing home sales in July.
This constitutes the biggest rise in sales of new houses since September 2008.
Other data showed a 7.2% rise in the sales of existing home sales in July.
orders of US durable goods in July
Orders for US durable goods increased by 4.9% in July, beating analysts' expectations.
US's GDP in Q2 2009 (revised)
The US GDP in Q2 2009 declined at an annualised rate of 1% (-1%), unchanged from an initial estimate released last month. In Q1 the annualised rate of contraction 6,4% (-6,4%).
UK's GDP in Q2 2009 (revised)
UK's domestic product (GDP) in Q2 2009 has been revised to -0.7% (from -0.8%) compared with the previous quarter.
The year on year decline has been revised to -5.5% from -5.6%.
The year on year decline has been revised to -5.5% from -5.6%.
Philosophical and policy question: private or public?
Which economic activities are better suited for the private sector - supply-demand, which for the state and which for "mixed"?
Wanted
1) A greener - less materialist, more intellectual products oriented version of capitalism
2) A simpler but more satisfactory way of life, still consistent with the basics of Western civilisation.
Consider the pros and cons of 200 years of industrialism - what to keep and what to revise
2) A simpler but more satisfactory way of life, still consistent with the basics of Western civilisation.
Consider the pros and cons of 200 years of industrialism - what to keep and what to revise
Thursday, August 27, 2009
greed to blame for the current crisis?
IMO greed is not a sufficient explanation - reason for the current
crisis or the problems of capitalism
crisis or the problems of capitalism
Wednesday, August 26, 2009
How much Services can your economy produce and export?
How many services are really "tradeable" enough for an economy to depend for exports?
Which ones can the US or the UK or other OECD countries be "good"/globally "comparatively" competitive at?
And can they be "produced" in volumes and prices that can replace the exports of industrial goods? Or will they need to radically reduce their imports to achieve viable trade balances?
Which ones can the US or the UK or other OECD countries be "good"/globally "comparatively" competitive at?
And can they be "produced" in volumes and prices that can replace the exports of industrial goods? Or will they need to radically reduce their imports to achieve viable trade balances?
living in the era of services and intellectual products
Can the US, the UK, Germany, France and other OECD economies survive and prosper mainly via services and intellectual products?
Can they?
What kind of re-engineering do they need to be able to do that?
Eg Financial Services: Were/are London and NYC over relying on financial services for economic activity and for jobs? What are the employment and other economic effects these days?
Can they?
What kind of re-engineering do they need to be able to do that?
Eg Financial Services: Were/are London and NYC over relying on financial services for economic activity and for jobs? What are the employment and other economic effects these days?
2009 US record budget deficit
The White House and the Congress have warned that the US budget deficit will reach almost USD 1.6 trillion this year (USD 455cbn deficit in 2008).
Part of the reason is the USD 787bn stimulus package as well as lower tax revenues due to the recession.
Further, the White House predicts that a (cumulative) debt of USD 9 trillion will be recorded from 2010-2019!
Part of the reason is the USD 787bn stimulus package as well as lower tax revenues due to the recession.
Further, the White House predicts that a (cumulative) debt of USD 9 trillion will be recorded from 2010-2019!
2009+ viable models for economic growth, exports and jobs
With 75-80+% of most OECD economies being Services, what are viable models for economic growth, exports and jobs?
Tuesday, August 25, 2009
Who cares about anything when life is being lived
(based on my "Game in Town" poem)
Who cares about the winter, when summer is so glorious
Who cares about losing, when winning is so grand
Who cares about anything, when life is being lived
Who cares about anything, when life is being lived
In bars and in bistros, commitments were kept
promises betrayed, anticipations realised
Kings and queens, knights and ladies, we are all here, because here is the place (x2)
Who cares about anything, when life is being lived
Who cares about the winter, when summer is so glorious
Who cares about losing, when winning is so grand
Who cares about anything, when life is being lived
Who cares about anything, when life is being lived
In bars and in bistros, commitments were kept
promises betrayed, anticipations realised
Kings and queens, knights and ladies, we are all here, because here is the place (x2)
Who cares about anything, when life is being lived
Industrial Orders in the EU and the Eurozone in June
Eurozone: New orders rose by 3.1% compared with May but down 25.1% compared with June 2008.
EU: They fell by 0.4% compared with May
The biggest rise compared with May was recorded in Ireland,14.8%.
EU: They fell by 0.4% compared with May
The biggest rise compared with May was recorded in Ireland,14.8%.
Need to redefine "privacy"?
What is/should be considered "private" and what "public" nowadays?
Of course, in a fully (utopian) pluralist and safe society, IMO most of the need for privacy would become obsolete!
Of course, in a fully (utopian) pluralist and safe society, IMO most of the need for privacy would become obsolete!
the real caviar in life
Philosophy - Life Management:
The real "caviar" in life IMO:
a) Philosophy (social, popular) - thinking and
b) sex
Yes, ecomomic post-materialism!
The real "caviar" in life IMO:
a) Philosophy (social, popular) - thinking and
b) sex
Yes, ecomomic post-materialism!
Monday, August 24, 2009
back to basics?
Philosophy - Economy:
Do we need a "back to basics" approach (as individuals and Society)?
IMO, we do.
Do we need a "back to basics" approach (as individuals and Society)?
IMO, we do.
revising capitalism?
Philosophy - Economy:
Does capitalism as we know it need a major revision job?
I think it does. It is festered with too many bugs and systemic faults. It does need re-engineering, IMO.
Does capitalism as we know it need a major revision job?
I think it does. It is festered with too many bugs and systemic faults. It does need re-engineering, IMO.
job satisfaction
Life management - philosophy - jobs:
If people turned their hobby into a profession the world would be a better place (and they happier)?
If people turned their hobby into a profession the world would be a better place (and they happier)?
bugs in capitalism 1.0
life, philosophy, economy and policy:
Should the prices of basic goods such as oil, energy and food be the objects of "speculation"?
Should the prices of basic goods such as oil, energy and food be the objects of "speculation"?
policy: fine balances
Policy: spending money does not guarantee healthy growth, cutting costs per se does not make an economy lean
life management: the value of sensuality
life management and philosophy:
In these volatile, gloomy, somewhat miserable times do more people need more sensuality in their daily lives?
In these volatile, gloomy, somewhat miserable times do more people need more sensuality in their daily lives?
Sunday, August 23, 2009
Liberal or Libertarian?
"Funny" how the term Liberal means opposite things in Europe vs. the US (European liberal = US libertarian)
Saturday, August 22, 2009
philosophy: a person's "strategic tool"
IMO philosophy is not about aimless thinking endevours, its role is to provide people applied "strategic" solutions for their daily lives
"life management": in other words, philosophy is to individuals/people what strategy is to companies
"life management": in other words, philosophy is to individuals/people what strategy is to companies
economic humor?
recession + recovery specs: she loves me, she loves me not, recovery, recovery not lol
oil dynamics
what price (range) of oil is high enough to promote the switch alternate energy sources and low enough not to cause economic effects analogous to mid-2008?
oil prices reach year's highest on Friday
The price of oil has hit its highest point of 2009 on Friday (today), a year of extreme price volatility.
The price of US crude closed at USD 73.89, of London Brent at USD 74.19.
The price of US crude closed at USD 73.89, of London Brent at USD 74.19.
US real estate
US sales of existing homes were up by 7.2% in July, at an annual rate of 5.24 million units.
Friday, August 21, 2009
whom do you trust?
In the economy, in politics, in relationships, in life in general: Whom do YOU "trust"?
public vs. private and the politicians' role
Some things are better done by the private sector, some by the
public, it is not ideological it is "structural" IMO
In countries where many citizens fear the #public sector and #bureaucracy it is the politicians, past and present, fault
Many politicians have a natural propensity to over-regulate, over-legislate, think they can determine everything
Many politicians think that "the market" and "supply and demand" will solve everything, they are equally wrong IMO
public, it is not ideological it is "structural" IMO
In countries where many citizens fear the #public sector and #bureaucracy it is the politicians, past and present, fault
Many politicians have a natural propensity to over-regulate, over-legislate, think they can determine everything
Many politicians think that "the market" and "supply and demand" will solve everything, they are equally wrong IMO
a public sector - bureaucracy that you can "trust"
if u do not trust ur country's "public sector", why not vote to change it? make it more effective, less bureaucratic - not private
economic type of "phobias"
While thinking about the "Obamacare" plan in the US and many people's reaction to a socialised coverage system, I realised that (in general, not the US):
Some people have a public sector - bureaucracy "phobia"
Some people have a private sector - greed "phobia".
Some people have a public sector - bureaucracy "phobia"
Some people have a private sector - greed "phobia".
cash rebates for replacing cars with more fuel efficient ones
The US Car Allowance Rebate System's total budget will stay at USD 3 bn (initially it was 1 bn).
Countries that implemented such schemes (boosting car sales): USA, UK, France, Germany, Italy and Spain
Countries that implemented such schemes (boosting car sales): USA, UK, France, Germany, Italy and Spain
European Union: can it move "forward"?
IMO it is high time for radical new thinking towards more depth with clear communication of them and their rationale
The pro-EU camp has to call a spade a spade if the European Union is to move forward, no more "fuzz".
The pro-EU camp has to call a spade a spade if the European Union is to move forward, no more "fuzz".
social media and "followers"
re socialmedia:
IMO "social capital" does not mean social "currency"
"Followers": IMO people do not "follow" people they "follow" ideas, thoughts, opinions, insights etc
IMO "social capital" does not mean social "currency"
"Followers": IMO people do not "follow" people they "follow" ideas, thoughts, opinions, insights etc
trade: bilateral vs multilateral agreements
lots of new (bilateral) free trade agreements in the making, it seems. Do they undermine the (multilateral) WTO agreements/rules?
how many jobs lost in the US since the crisis?
Since December 2007, how many million jobs have been lost in the US? a) 4.7 b) 6.7 c) 8.7?
The answer: 6.7 (b)
The answer: 6.7 (b)
careering in 2009
Investing in a career: what is the "underlying value" of a CV? Is there one or is it intangible/virtual?
analysing the causes of the crisis
Global financial crisis:
lessons?
Thinking hard in Wyoming?
(Meeting of central bankers and economists in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
lessons?
Thinking hard in Wyoming?
(Meeting of central bankers and economists in Jackson Hole, Wyoming.
Thursday, August 20, 2009
UK retail sales
UK retail sales were 0.4% in July compared with June, 3.3% up from last year(ONS stats). Clothing and footwear sales (up 10.3% from a year ago), furniture and electrical goods were some of the main "drivers".
Wednesday, August 19, 2009
healthcare usa: a "hybrid" solution
One solution is IMO to keep it private but subsidize the premiums so that each holder pays the same fee no matter what his/her personal/family medical history/risk is.
on new policy making (a tip)
A tip to policy makers (in the USA, EU, etc) when you introduce new policy (especially radical/innovative/ground breaking) you do not make it "1000" pages (see eg what happened to the EU constitution)!
Why?
Because most of those who actually take the time and energy to read those "1000" pages will be its "enemies" and then good luck proving to the people that what is in those "1000" is "good" for them.
In other words:
Learn to draft policy and legislation in brevity and every day language. Easy? No. But no one said it was going to be easy!
Why?
Because most of those who actually take the time and energy to read those "1000" pages will be its "enemies" and then good luck proving to the people that what is in those "1000" is "good" for them.
In other words:
Learn to draft policy and legislation in brevity and every day language. Easy? No. But no one said it was going to be easy!
the No. 1 challenge nowadays
No 1 challenge (for thinkers, philosophers, politicians, policy makers, etc, and yes, "people" - "the average citizen") today/nowadays (IMO):
To balance individualism and collectivism in the midst of loud voices that max on the former or the latter
To balance individualism and collectivism in the midst of loud voices that max on the former or the latter
In search of logic? the causes of dogmatic thinking
The causes of dogmatic - close minded thinking: is it any wonder that so many people try to cling to political, ideological, economic and other dogmas (because reality is so inconsistent)?
One effect of the systemic irrationality: can one expect the jobless in the USA, the EU, the world, to embrace free trade or other fancy ideas most governments do not even seem to practice?
One effect of the systemic irrationality: can one expect the jobless in the USA, the EU, the world, to embrace free trade or other fancy ideas most governments do not even seem to practice?
In search of logic?
How logical - rational are the political, policy, economy (and job market) and other systemics of the world we live in? consistent?
Is it rational to expect a tad more rationality, logic or at least consistency?
Is it rational to expect a tad more rationality, logic or at least consistency?
free trade and protectionism
free trade and protectionism:
What is an "average citizen" (especially worker, jobless or small business owner) to believe nowadays?
Whose rhetoric? Which part of it?
Do as I say but not as I do?
Example:
The G20: How serious are they re anti-protectionism? Do as I say but not as I do?
What is an "average citizen" (especially worker, jobless or small business owner) to believe nowadays?
Whose rhetoric? Which part of it?
Do as I say but not as I do?
Example:
The G20: How serious are they re anti-protectionism? Do as I say but not as I do?
re-thinking "comparative advantage"?
The key words are:
Policy Philosophy Economics Globalization
And the thought:
Re-thinking "comparative advantage"?
example: June 2009: According to the German Finance Minister, Germany must begin to reduce its dependence on foreign trade
Food for thought?
Policy Philosophy Economics Globalization
And the thought:
Re-thinking "comparative advantage"?
example: June 2009: According to the German Finance Minister, Germany must begin to reduce its dependence on foreign trade
Food for thought?
Globalisation pros and cons - food supply and demand
economic modeling and policy: lessons from the 2008 world prices crisis in staple foods?
USA: economic in-dependence?
End of June holdings of US Treasury Bonds in bn USD: 1) China 776.4 2) Japan 711.8 3) UK 214
Tuesday, August 18, 2009
The Dutch way in keeping unemployment low
How do the Netherlands manage to keep unemployment so low? Last time I checked, it was around 3% in spite of world recession!
Lessons for policy makers in other countries?
Lessons for policy makers in other countries?
growth = mini and small companies
Policy: making it easier to start and operate a mini or small company (all countries) is IMO crucial for growth out of the recession.
WTO rules at all levels
IMO all public procurements at all levels (national/federal, state/provincial/regional, local, etc) must be under WTO rules in ANY WTO member country, federal or not.
life management: cost management
Life and Jobs: If you cannot make enough money, spend less money. Companies do the same (cost management)
on comparative advantage 1809 vs 2009
Do David Ricardo's (1772–1823) theories on comparative advantage apply to 21st century systemics and dynamics?
Humans over Things in Globalization
Is inter-national transportation too cheap for goods and too expensive for people??? food for thought (globalization)
Foreign investment: private vs state?
Policy: Should a country discriminate between foreign private and foreign state investment to it?
IMO, Yes.
IMO, Yes.
Economics 901: export then invest
Economics 901: Country X keeps its currency low, exports (big!) to ur economy, then uses part of the (huge) revenues (and foreign currency reserves) to invest in ur economy!!!!!!! Wow?
Out of recession since Q2 2009!
What did Japan, Hong Kong, France and Germany have in common in Q2 of 2009?
Their GDP growth got them out of recession!
Their GDP growth got them out of recession!
US retail sales
US Retail Sales declined, unexpectedly, 0.1% in July, after a 0.8% increase in June.
When one excludes sales of car and auto parts, retail sales were down 0.6% in July!
When one excludes sales of car and auto parts, retail sales were down 0.6% in July!
US industrial production
US industrial production was up 0.5% in July, beating expectations. It was the first increase in 9 months.
UK inflation in July
The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) remained at 1.8% in July, same as in June, in spite expectations of a decline to 1.5%.
The Retail Prices Index (RPI) inflation rate, which includes mortgage interest payments, also rose unexpectedly to -1.4% from -1.6%.
The Retail Prices Index (RPI) inflation rate, which includes mortgage interest payments, also rose unexpectedly to -1.4% from -1.6%.
The philosophy of "Society"
IMO a truly public health insurance and care option should be financed not via employers and employees Social Sec contributions, but the general taxes. Again IMO solidarity is health risks and costs is a basic function of a "Society". W/o it there is no "Society" to speak of. Only a "trailer park", at best. No person should have to pay the private sector premiums that his/her or family history "dictate" or be labeled "too risky to insure
Ancient Sparta or Ancient Athens? Which Societal-Civic "model"?
IMO, Ancient Athens!
Ancient Sparta or Ancient Athens? Which Societal-Civic "model"?
IMO, Ancient Athens!
It takes a "Society"
IMO a truly public option should be financed not via employers and employees Social Sec contributions, but the general taxes. Again IMO solidarity is health risks and costs is a basic function of a "Society". W/o it there is no "Society" to speak of. Only a "trailer park", at best. No person should have to carry the private sector premiums that his/her or family history "dictate" or be labeled "to risky to insure".
Is the plan is "dead", I am alas not surprised. It seems that the same special interests that opposed Hilary's plans in the first Clinton Admin. (1994) and almost "cost" him his re-election, have won again, some 15 years later. Would a Hilary Administration have a better chance to pass a plan this year? One will never know. Her plan was more ambitious though. Who knows, maybe in 2016 (years).
Or maybe Americans who wants solidarity based health insurance may need to start heading towards the North or the East (again, this time the opposite way from the 15th century).
Sparta or Athens? It seems that the Spartan system has won. It seems.
Is the plan is "dead", I am alas not surprised. It seems that the same special interests that opposed Hilary's plans in the first Clinton Admin. (1994) and almost "cost" him his re-election, have won again, some 15 years later. Would a Hilary Administration have a better chance to pass a plan this year? One will never know. Her plan was more ambitious though. Who knows, maybe in 2016 (years).
Or maybe Americans who wants solidarity based health insurance may need to start heading towards the North or the East (again, this time the opposite way from the 15th century).
Sparta or Athens? It seems that the Spartan system has won. It seems.
The job of hunting for a job!
Looking for a job is a job, one of the hardest ones nowadays, actually
Civics: The Athenian vs. Spartan models today
Are there people today who consider the ancient Spartan socio-political model better than that of ancient Athens?????
Monday, August 17, 2009
"strategy" in business and in life
One company's perfect strategy is another company's disaster. Tailor make your company's strategy. The same applies to work/career and other personal matters as well. JMO
thinking vs action: thinking "is" action!
philosophy: life, job, business: Thinking before action! Never mind what some people say, Thinking is "action" too! Beat the groupthink, do not waste your energy in "instinctive" action. Thinking before action. JMO
decisions, choices, the value of thinking
It's YOUR life, your job or business, thus make YOUR decisions!
IMO, thinking is the "competitive advantage" of our times
IMO, thinking is the "competitive advantage" of our times
online dating vs online job hunting
What do you prefer: online job hunting or online dating?
Has online dating helped or hurt your dating life?
Are people spending too much time chatting before they actually meet? IMO, yes!
Has online dating helped or hurt your dating life?
Are people spending too much time chatting before they actually meet? IMO, yes!
the core business functions in 2009?
IME Sales and Finance (and Operations) continue to be seen as the core of a corporation - business!
HR, PR, Public Affairs etc, even Marketing, are seen (really) as "auxiliary" by many corporations
HR, PR, Public Affairs etc, even Marketing, are seen (really) as "auxiliary" by many corporations
The "PR" about HR
Human Resources (HR) Management is much more than the old "Personnel Mgt" but not many companies really believe in its value for all seasons
industrial policy
What is YOUR economy's "backbone" industrial - business sectors?
Does an economy need sectoral based "backbones"?
Does an economy need sectoral based "backbones"?
Sunday, August 16, 2009
factors in Germany's rebound
According to a German friend, unchanged domestic consumption (due to high savings in the last decades), car sales (Ed.Note: due to rebate offered by government for retiring old cars, similar systems in USA and other countries) and strong growth in asia (meaning exports) are the main reasons for Germany rebound back into positive GDP growth territory in Q2 of 2009.
Note the high savings in last decades factor!!!
Note the high savings in last decades factor!!!
Saturday, August 15, 2009
Germany - Russia relations warm
The German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Russia's President Dmitry Medvedev have held talks for the second time this month and the third time this year! They focused on Russian human rights and boosting investment links as well as ways to overcome the consequences of the global recession.
Success keys in 2009
Success Keys in 2009 (IMO):
awareness
thinking
feeling
relaxation
philosophy
humor
awareness
thinking
feeling
relaxation
philosophy
humor
US industrial production in July
The US industrial production rose 0.5% in July.
That's stronger than expected and it is the first rise in 9 months!
That's stronger than expected and it is the first rise in 9 months!
France and Germany out of recession in Q2 0f 2009?
-.0.1 Eurozone + 0.3 Germany + 0.3 France - 0.8 UK = ??
The career myth?
Who wants, today, to forgo over-time pay etc for the vague prospect of LT senior management and similar ambitions?
Career in 2009 terms
Beyond the myths: What is a "career" in 2009 terms compared with eg 1989 terms?
Export competency
Recent economic history: what turned the US and the UK from net exporters to net importers? Can that be reversed?
The largest car market in the world
What is the largest car market in the world with 11 million cars expected to be sold this year?
China, of course (given the 1.4 billion population)
China, of course (given the 1.4 billion population)
Thursday, August 13, 2009
Are we dust in the wind?
"Dust in The Wind": A beautiful song by Kansas, one of my fave of all times.
Now, philosophically speaking: Are we indeed dust in the wind? And in what sense?
What is your POV? If we accept that we are, then what could that mean, philosophically, re our personal lives and values/mindsets?
About our values and priorities as "Humankind"? Eg does that make us abstain from petty arguments and feuds and wars and focus on the things that really matter, love for our fellow humans, less greed, etc.?
A more "intellectually" rather than materialist based living?
Now, philosophically speaking: Are we indeed dust in the wind? And in what sense?
What is your POV? If we accept that we are, then what could that mean, philosophically, re our personal lives and values/mindsets?
About our values and priorities as "Humankind"? Eg does that make us abstain from petty arguments and feuds and wars and focus on the things that really matter, love for our fellow humans, less greed, etc.?
A more "intellectually" rather than materialist based living?
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
US trade gap in June
After a $26bn trade deficit in May that was the smallest in more than nine years, in June, US trade registered a deficit of #27bn.
Imports: $152.8bn (up 2.3% from May, the largest increase in more than 6 months)
Exports: $125.8bn (up 2%).
Imports: $152.8bn (up 2.3% from May, the largest increase in more than 6 months)
Exports: $125.8bn (up 2%).
Who creates jobs?
When will politicians (UK, EU, USA, etc) realise that they cannot create jobs, only foster the climate for job creation by the economy?
Eg: Are apprenticeships an effective way of helping young people enter the job market in a viable way?
Eg: Are apprenticeships an effective way of helping young people enter the job market in a viable way?
Q2 UK unemployment the highest in 13 years
In Q2 of 2009 the UK unemployment rate rose to 7.8% from 7.1% in Q1. That means that 2.4 million people in the UK were unemployed in Q2 (April-June). The number is higher by now (August).
almost 1 million under 25 Brits looking for work
928,000 under 25 Britons are looking for work (ONS data).
On the EU and US "Single Markets"
What does the EU Single Market need to be more like a real "Single Market"?
PS. Is the USA a real "Single Market"?
PS. Is the USA a real "Single Market"?
Do regulations and laws really have the right effect?
Do more regulations, laws and agencies really affect the "plays" of the "big players" (in markets of all sorts)?
Red tape and the small company
Do politicians and policy makers in Europe, the EU, the USA, etc. realise how their over-regulation and legal labyrinths "suffocate" small companies?
Globalization, market access and the small companies
Does anyone really expect small companies - anywhere - to feel part of the globalization "game" as it is today?
IMO the name of the globalization game is: (real) Market Access. Without it, it's a myth
IMO the name of the globalization game is: (real) Market Access. Without it, it's a myth
Monday, August 10, 2009
The global effects of the "Buy American" provision
The "buy American" provision in the US stimulus package may or may in line with actual trade agreements but IMO, in any case, it gives out - emits a very pro protectionism signal to the whole world!
visions of the global staple food crisis 2008? a case for regionalisation - fortresses?
The price of sugar: visions of the global staple foods price crisis on 2008?
A reason for national or regional economic fortresses (aka self-sufficiency in production)?
The recent events:
The world price of raw sugar has reached to its highest level since March 1981!
This price increase seems to be driven by supply side fears related to the growing demand in Brazil for sugar to be turned into ethanol and a sharp 45% 2008-2009 year-on-year decline in production in India and concerns that since India had less rain in the monsoon season etc, the pending sugar crop, which will be ready around November, will be lacking.
A reason for national or regional economic fortresses (aka self-sufficiency in production)?
The recent events:
The world price of raw sugar has reached to its highest level since March 1981!
This price increase seems to be driven by supply side fears related to the growing demand in Brazil for sugar to be turned into ethanol and a sharp 45% 2008-2009 year-on-year decline in production in India and concerns that since India had less rain in the monsoon season etc, the pending sugar crop, which will be ready around November, will be lacking.
USA and EU public policy and the man in the street:
USA and EU public policy and the man in the street: who really pays attention to what is happening - new policy + laws in DC and in Brussels/Lux/Strasbourg?
What is the effect of that?
What is the effect of that?
thinking vs. action in our epoch
What is the value of common sense in such a volatile epoch? IMO, not that high!!!
Why is thinking things thru so hard in our epoch?
Act first, think later? Is this the effect of the dynamics of our epoch?
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Why is thinking things thru so hard in our epoch?
Act first, think later? Is this the effect of the dynamics of our epoch?
what do you want, want do you really need?
A music vid philosophical commentary on needs and wants in 2009!
Some thoughts on Governing in 2009
IMO most countries/states need fewer but better laws, neither chaos nor bureaucratic labyrinths
A free market presupposes strong but clear competition rules
It's not the role of governments to protect jobs in specific companies but to protect the employability of the people ("flexicurity")
A free market presupposes strong but clear competition rules
It's not the role of governments to protect jobs in specific companies but to protect the employability of the people ("flexicurity")
Sunday, August 9, 2009
Dynamics: Dilemmas or win-win? Local and Global?
Buy local or global? How about regional (eg EU, NAFTA, ASEAN, Mercosur, etc)?
How about work (local, global, regional)?
City or countryside?
Commute to work or pay high rent downtown?
The system or the people?
The Society or the individual?
Financial or Human capital?
The place or the people (or both)?
Dilemmas or win-win?
Thinking or over-analysis?
Essence or form?
The era is full of alleged dilemmas, posed by media, experts, policy makers, activists, preachers, sellers, etc etc.
But do these dilemmas really exist? Why does there have to be "or" and not "and"? How about balance? How about mix?
"The thing you own wind up owning you" ("The Fight Club")
Fast times, fast food, fast (and dilemma based) thinking?
The big city or the quaint village? Why not BOTH?
How about work (local, global, regional)?
City or countryside?
Commute to work or pay high rent downtown?
The system or the people?
The Society or the individual?
Financial or Human capital?
The place or the people (or both)?
Dilemmas or win-win?
Thinking or over-analysis?
Essence or form?
The era is full of alleged dilemmas, posed by media, experts, policy makers, activists, preachers, sellers, etc etc.
But do these dilemmas really exist? Why does there have to be "or" and not "and"? How about balance? How about mix?
"The thing you own wind up owning you" ("The Fight Club")
Fast times, fast food, fast (and dilemma based) thinking?
The big city or the quaint village? Why not BOTH?
Intellectual products and their value in 2009 economies
Way of life 2009: Food for the stomach OR food for thought (the mind)?
How "intellectual" is your economy? In other words, is it goods or services or intellectual products based?
How "intellectual" is your economy? In other words, is it goods or services or intellectual products based?
Buy/work local, global or regional?
Globalisation is supposed to work for the small company and the average person (the man in the street). Is it?
Buy local, global (WTO) OR regional (EU, NAFTA, Mercosur, ASEAN, etc)?
Buy local, global (WTO) OR regional (EU, NAFTA, Mercosur, ASEAN, etc)?
Friday, August 7, 2009
German and French trade balances in June
1) Germany
In June, exports rose by 7%, which is the fastest pace of growth in almost three years.
Exports were 67.4bn euros, imports 56.4bn euros, leading to a trade surplus of 11bn euros.
2) France
Exports fell to 27.44bn euros in June from 27.908bn euros in May, imports rose to 31.449bn euros in June from 31.045bn in May, thus the trade deficit grew to 4bn euros in June from 3.137bn euros in May.
In June, exports rose by 7%, which is the fastest pace of growth in almost three years.
Exports were 67.4bn euros, imports 56.4bn euros, leading to a trade surplus of 11bn euros.
2) France
Exports fell to 27.44bn euros in June from 27.908bn euros in May, imports rose to 31.449bn euros in June from 31.045bn in May, thus the trade deficit grew to 4bn euros in June from 3.137bn euros in May.
US jobs lost in July
Against analysts' expectations of 320,000 non-farm job losses in July, the US economy lost 247,000 jobs "only". The unemployment rate fell to 9.4%, from 9.5% in June.
This is the first time since April 2008 that the US unemployment rate decreases. But does that mean anything re recession - recovery? Most economists as well as US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner expect unemployment not to reach its to peak until the second half of 2010, ie a year from now!
Since December 2007 when the recession is supposed to have begun, approx. 6.7 million jobs have been lost in the US.
This is the first time since April 2008 that the US unemployment rate decreases. But does that mean anything re recession - recovery? Most economists as well as US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner expect unemployment not to reach its to peak until the second half of 2010, ie a year from now!
Since December 2007 when the recession is supposed to have begun, approx. 6.7 million jobs have been lost in the US.
Thursday, August 6, 2009
US consumption, personal income and wages
US consumer spending rose (0.4%) for the second consecutive month in June (0.1% in May), driven by rising food and fuel costs.
Personal income in June fell 1.3% from May (May was the month of the stimulus payments)
Wages and salaries fell by 0.4% in June from May for the eighth straight month.
What will be the consumption impact of the "cash for clunkers" scheme in July and August that allow people to trade in old cars to buy newer vehicles at a discount?
Personal income in June fell 1.3% from May (May was the month of the stimulus payments)
Wages and salaries fell by 0.4% in June from May for the eighth straight month.
What will be the consumption impact of the "cash for clunkers" scheme in July and August that allow people to trade in old cars to buy newer vehicles at a discount?
Monday, August 3, 2009
philosophy: neither Marx nor Ayn Rand!
It seems that many seek analysis of the causes and systemics of the current global crisis in either the theories of Marx or Ayn Rand.
IMO the theories of Marx and Ayn Rand are irrelevant in analysing or solving problems in the 21st century.
Why? Because the fundamentals, social, economic, political, cultural, technological, etc, in other words, the systemics and dynamics of our era, are very different than the epochs these theories were conceived and developed in.
The same applies IMO to most thinkers of past centuries.
IMO the problems of our era require fresh new thinking and new, modern, thinkers who will take into account the systemics and dynamics of our era in order to analyse the situations and problems and propose solutions or even causal analyses.
IMO the theories of Marx and Ayn Rand are irrelevant in analysing or solving problems in the 21st century.
Why? Because the fundamentals, social, economic, political, cultural, technological, etc, in other words, the systemics and dynamics of our era, are very different than the epochs these theories were conceived and developed in.
The same applies IMO to most thinkers of past centuries.
IMO the problems of our era require fresh new thinking and new, modern, thinkers who will take into account the systemics and dynamics of our era in order to analyse the situations and problems and propose solutions or even causal analyses.
Sunday, August 2, 2009
uncertainty as opportunity or risk: USA vs. Europe
Europeans used to view uncertainty as a threat - do they still do that?
Americans used to view uncertainty as an opportunity - do they still do that?
Americans used to view uncertainty as an opportunity - do they still do that?
EU's future: better and fewer regulations
EU's future: better, simpler and fewer regulations and laws (eu and national)
Europe's Basic Economics
As EUropean consumers lose their jobs (3.17m people in the Eurozone have lost their jobs since June 2008), they lower their spending. To attract customers, retailers have been cutting prices.
Simple Economics and what appears to be happening in Europe, especially the Eurozone, which is recording record low prices.
Simple Economics and what appears to be happening in Europe, especially the Eurozone, which is recording record low prices.
Eurozone jobless rate and inflation
In June, the number of jobless in the Eurozone grew by 158,000, bringing the total number of to 14.9 million or 9.4%, which is the highest rate in 10 years. The lowest unemployment rate was recorded in the Netherlands, 3.3% and the highest in Spain: 18.1%
As per the Eurozone's inflation, in July, it declined more than expected to a record low 0.6% compared to a year earlier.
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